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Red143
553824.9
516651.4
317558.3
Blue133
377048.5
968519.5
521664.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140140110120130150160170180143133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
91Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#10
10L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
8Foul points0
143Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.0
58.358.3
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
blue by 6.6
64.90.0
64.964.9
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
Second
51.40.0
51.451.4
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 3.0
48.50.0
48.548.5
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
Third
5538
#27
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End5.5
red by 5.4
9685
#17
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5