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Red21
968519.5
653315.2
523122.3
Blue108
377048.5
607113.4
317558.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46100015020021108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+75
Endgame+87
Fouls+87
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +75
3Coral scored#18
10Coral points63
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
10Total teleop85
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
4Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points0
21Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5231
#18
22.31.8
16.514.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
blue by 36.0
58.31.5
42.343.8
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
Second
9685
#17
19.51.7
12.911.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
blue by 29.0
48.51.5
32.333.9
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
Third
6533
#26
15.21.8
17.816.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
red by 1.7
6071
#36
13.41.5
10.411.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned