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Red91
550938.9
560337.7
973613.2
Blue35
606721.5
967415.7
542429.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73710501001509135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+52Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
10Coral scored#3
37Coral points10
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
55Total teleop16
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
91Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.9
29.531.4
Auto7.2
Teleop25.5
End6.3
red by 9.4
5424
#21
29.51.7
27.025.3
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Second
37.71.9
26.428.2
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
red by 16.2
6067
#25
21.51.7
24.823.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Third
9736
#23
13.21.9
6.88.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 2.5
9674
#34
15.71.7
9.17.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed