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Red99
966224.6
522927.8
516651.4
Blue65
966118.0
973112.8
519338.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1145701001502009965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
6Processor points12
20Net points4
26Algae points16
81Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
99Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.1
45.345.2
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 13.0
38.50.3
28.428.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.3
End5.9
Second
27.80.1
21.821.7
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
red by 9.8
9661
#11
18.00.3
11.812.1
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Third
9662
#19
24.60.1
24.624.4
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End3.2
red by 11.8
9731
#40
12.80.3
12.612.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed