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Red100
1054714.9
570414.3
317558.3
Blue69
608832.9
777218.8
1066712.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8357204010012014010069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
62Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
100Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.6
43.845.4
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
red by 25.4
6088
#12
32.91.0
24.725.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Second
14.91.6
14.115.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 3.8
7772
#39
18.81.0
14.215.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Third
5704
#14
14.31.6
12.414.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 1.6
12.71.0
15.516.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed