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Red98
663116.8
608832.9
653315.2
Blue102
519338.5
973613.2
959416.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6154010015098102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
67Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
98Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#12
32.91.6
25.727.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
blue by 5.6
38.52.1
28.730.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.3
End5.9
Second
6631
#37
16.81.6
14.416.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Level
9594
#22
16.82.1
11.914.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End1.2
Third
6533
#26
15.21.6
16.017.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
red by 1.9
9736
#23
13.22.1
8.710.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed