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Red44
973112.8
1069023.5
675326.5
Blue96
966118.0
570414.3
516651.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578601001504496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
33Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
44Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#16
26.51.1
19.218.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End6.9
blue by 24.9
51.40.8
45.246.1
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
23.51.1
23.522.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
red by 5.5
9661
#11
18.00.8
12.112.9
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Third
9731
#40
12.81.1
12.911.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 1.5
5704
#14
14.30.8
14.014.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned