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Red68
553824.9
542429.5
523122.3
Blue55
552521.3
661012.9
606721.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636002040801001201406855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
12Coral scored#7
44Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
60Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
68Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#21
29.50.2
25.325.4
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
red by 8.0
6067
#25
21.50.6
23.122.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
5538
#27
24.90.2
14.414.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End5.5
red by 3.6
5525
#24
21.30.6
15.514.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Third
5231
#18
22.30.2
14.814.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
red by 9.4
6610
#28
12.90.6
14.814.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed