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Red63
603325.7
968519.5
964820.2
Blue27
1066712.7
967415.7
261930.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694901001506327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
7Coral scored#2
25Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
29Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points0
63Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6033
#13
25.70.3
22.422.1
Auto3.7
Teleop16.5
End5.5
blue by 4.5
30.11.4
21.219.7
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End7.4
Second
9648
#20
20.20.3
25.525.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
red by 4.5
9674
#34
15.71.4
10.89.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
9685
#17
19.50.3
13.313.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
red by 6.8
12.71.4
16.415.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed