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Red82
550415.0
377048.5
966224.6
Blue52
607319.5
675326.5
1054714.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825320401001201401608252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
50Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points18
82Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.7
37.237.9
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
red by 22.0
6753
#16
26.51.2
18.116.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End6.9
Second
9662
#19
24.60.7
23.023.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End3.2
red by 5.2
6073
#15
19.51.2
17.916.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
Third
5504
#38
15.00.7
11.011.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End4.0
red by 0.1
14.91.2
15.714.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed