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Red117
606721.5
851736.7
608832.9
Blue66
959416.8
607113.4
973112.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10542015011766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
19Coral scored#11
70Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
88Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points6
117Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#10
36.70.8
34.835.6
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
red by 19.9
9594
#22
16.80.1
14.014.1
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End1.2
Second
6088
#12
32.90.8
27.328.0
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
red by 19.5
6071
#36
13.40.1
12.212.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Third
6067
#25
21.50.8
22.423.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
red by 8.7
9731
#40
12.80.1
11.811.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed