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Red63
523122.3
1058719.4
519338.5
Blue55
542429.5
966118.0
710914.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755102040601001201406355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
43Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
63Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.0
30.830.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.3
End5.9
red by 8.9
5424
#21
29.50.6
25.426.0
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Second
5231
#18
22.30.0
14.914.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
red by 4.3
9661
#11
18.00.6
12.913.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Third
19.40.0
17.017.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.5
End3.0
red by 5.2
7109
#32
14.20.6
7.68.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned