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Red95
653315.2
570414.3
560337.7
Blue80
550415.0
552521.3
598225.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775002040601001201401609580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points42
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
68Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points12
95Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.3
32.433.7
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
red by 12.5
5982
#33
25.20.8
18.919.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
6533
#26
15.21.3
17.618.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 6.1
5525
#24
21.30.8
14.815.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Third
5704
#14
14.31.3
14.916.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 0.7
5504
#38
15.00.8
11.712.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed