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Red88
377048.5
607319.5
663116.8
Blue64
966224.6
550938.9
777218.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747640601001208864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
44Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
14Foul points0
88Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.2
37.938.2
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
red by 9.6
38.90.6
33.733.1
Auto7.2
Teleop25.5
End6.3
Second
6073
#15
19.50.2
16.717.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
blue by 5.2
9662
#19
24.60.6
23.723.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End3.2
Third
6631
#37
16.80.2
15.615.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 2.0
7772
#39
18.80.6
16.215.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned