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Red95
317558.3
968519.5
1069023.5
Blue86
967415.7
851736.7
603325.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8971204060801001201401609586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points22
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
61Total teleop58
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#7
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
95Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.9
46.247.1
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
red by 21.7
8517
#10
36.71.1
35.636.7
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
Second
23.50.9
22.623.5
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
blue by 2.1
6033
#13
25.71.1
22.123.2
Auto3.7
Teleop16.5
End5.5
Third
9685
#17
19.50.9
13.013.9
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
red by 3.8
9674
#34
15.71.1
9.310.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed