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Red34
523122.3
661012.9
777218.8
Blue38
607113.4
1066712.7
598225.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5256405060703438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
4Coral scored#5
13Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
21Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
34Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5231
#18
22.31.2
17.716.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
blue by 2.9
5982
#33
25.21.0
19.017.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
7772
#39
18.81.2
14.513.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 5.3
6071
#36
13.41.0
11.410.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Third
6610
#28
12.91.2
14.913.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 0.2
12.71.0
17.316.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed