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Red50
964820.2
663116.8
570414.3
Blue193
317558.3
521664.9
966224.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51128010015050193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+137
Endgame+137
Fouls+143
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave3
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points37
12Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +109
5Coral scored#28
18Coral points101
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
26Total teleop135
Reef
2L4#12
2L3#9
1L2#7
2L1 · trough#7
9Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +143
6Foul points12
50Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9648
#20
20.21.0
27.126.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
blue by 44.7
64.94.3
52.356.6
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
Second
6631
#37
16.81.0
15.114.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 41.5
58.34.3
38.042.3
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
Third
5704
#14
14.31.0
13.412.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 10.4
9662
#19
24.64.3
20.324.6
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed