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Red13
607319.5
973613.2
710914.2
Blue89
653315.2
261930.1
516651.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301000501501389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+56
Endgame+70
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +42
1Coral scored#9
2Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
2Total teleop44
Reef
1L4#5
0L3#3
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points6
13Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6073
#15
19.51.5
17.816.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
blue by 32.0
51.40.1
45.545.3
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
7109
#32
14.21.5
9.68.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
blue by 16.0
30.10.1
21.521.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End7.4
Third
9736
#23
13.21.5
8.36.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 1.9
6533
#26
15.20.1
17.917.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned