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Red62
522927.8
973112.8
967415.7
Blue113
377048.5
675326.5
606721.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549220408010012014016018062113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points34
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#2
6Processor points24
8Net points8
14Algae points32
46Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points6
62Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.4
21.521.8
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
blue by 20.7
48.51.4
30.932.3
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
Second
9674
#34
15.70.4
8.89.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 10.8
6753
#16
26.51.4
17.518.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End6.9
Third
9731
#40
12.80.4
12.312.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 8.7
6067
#25
21.51.4
23.424.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned