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Red46
966118.0
1054714.9
964820.2
Blue43
653315.2
606721.5
598225.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577302040801001201404643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
6Coral scored#5
22Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
28Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
46Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9648
#20
20.20.5
25.224.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
blue by 5.0
5982
#33
25.21.3
19.718.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
9661
#11
18.00.5
13.513.0
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
blue by 3.5
6067
#25
21.51.3
23.222.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Third
14.90.5
14.514.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 0.2
6533
#26
15.21.3
18.917.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed