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Red110
973112.8
521664.9
851736.7
Blue80
777218.8
560337.7
607319.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1306505010015020011080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+36Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
70Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#3
7L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
110Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.0
60.660.6
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
red by 27.2
37.70.9
33.734.6
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
Second
8517
#10
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
red by 17.2
6073
#15
19.50.9
17.017.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
Third
9731
#40
12.80.0
12.812.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 6.0
7772
#39
18.80.9
15.616.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned