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Red92
519338.5
598225.2
553824.9
Blue141
317558.3
523122.3
675326.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749205015092141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +31
11Coral scored#18
38Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
60Total teleop91
Reef
3L4#8
6L3#6
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
92Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.7
32.334.0
Auto5.3
Teleop27.3
End5.9
blue by 19.9
58.34.0
47.151.1
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
Second
5982
#33
25.21.7
18.420.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
blue by 1.3
6753
#16
26.54.0
17.021.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End6.9
Third
5538
#27
24.91.7
15.116.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End5.5
red by 2.6
5231
#18
22.34.0
16.720.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned