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Red87
516651.4
710914.2
608832.9
Blue71
552521.3
1069023.5
570414.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005701508771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+14Teleop
+22Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
57Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#2
1L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points6
87Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.1
46.446.5
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 27.9
23.50.6
23.524.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
Second
6088
#12
32.90.1
29.829.9
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
red by 11.7
5525
#24
21.30.6
16.016.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Third
7109
#32
14.20.1
9.19.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
blue by 0.1
5704
#14
14.30.6
16.116.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed