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Red101
661012.9
377048.5
653315.2
Blue45
1058719.4
964820.2
522927.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848020406010012014016010145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+20Teleop
+32Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
45Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
24Foul points0
101Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.5
38.238.7
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
red by 20.7
27.81.4
24.823.4
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
Second
6533
#26
15.20.5
17.618.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 5.0
9648
#20
20.21.4
24.823.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
Third
6610
#28
12.90.5
13.814.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 6.4
19.41.4
17.115.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed