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Red143
521664.9
603325.7
542429.5
Blue60
1054714.9
598225.2
973112.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13243010015020014360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+73Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
18Coral scored#6
63Coral points22
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
101Total teleop42
Reef
10L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
143Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.91.5
60.662.2
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
red by 39.7
5982
#33
25.20.2
20.220.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
5424
#21
29.51.5
26.127.7
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
red by 14.6
14.90.2
12.913.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Third
6033
#13
25.71.5
22.223.7
Auto3.7
Teleop16.5
End5.5
red by 12.9
9731
#40
12.80.2
12.813.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed