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Red85
553824.9
606721.5
560337.7
Blue73
851736.7
663116.8
710914.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796420401001201401608573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
53Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
85Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.8
34.635.4
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
red by 1.1
8517
#10
36.70.8
36.737.5
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
Second
5538
#27
24.90.8
16.917.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End5.5
red by 8.1
6631
#37
16.80.8
15.216.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Third
6067
#25
21.50.8
21.322.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
red by 7.4
7109
#32
14.20.8
9.210.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed