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Red40
1069023.5
608832.9
973613.2
Blue86
550938.9
607319.5
523122.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71790501001502004086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+32
Fouls+46
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
24Total teleop44
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points14
40Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#12
32.92.0
29.927.9
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
blue by 6.0
38.90.2
33.132.9
Auto7.2
Teleop25.5
End6.3
Second
23.52.0
24.122.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
red by 1.2
5231
#18
22.30.2
20.720.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
Third
9736
#23
13.22.0
12.410.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 6.2
6073
#15
19.50.2
17.917.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned