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Red86
607113.4
516651.4
550415.0
Blue101
377048.5
1066712.7
522927.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8593608010012014086101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
56Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
86Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.8
46.547.3
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 3.0
48.51.3
38.740.0
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
Second
5504
#38
15.00.8
12.513.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 12.8
27.81.3
23.424.7
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
Third
6071
#36
13.40.8
11.712.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End2.4
red by 0.8
12.71.3
16.117.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned