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Red35
570414.3
967415.7
777218.8
Blue55
1058719.4
653315.2
966118.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505301001502003555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
4Coral scored#8
13Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
17Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
35Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7772
#39
18.81.0
16.515.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End1.1
blue by 0.6
19.40.5
15.616.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Second
9674
#34
15.71.0
10.59.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 2.3
9661
#11
18.00.5
13.714.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Third
5704
#14
14.31.0
16.715.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 0.9
6533
#26
15.20.5
18.118.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed