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Red79
523122.3
959416.8
966224.6
Blue69
663116.8
598225.2
968519.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706040801001207969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
15Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
58Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
79Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9662
#19
24.60.2
22.622.9
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End3.2
blue by 0.6
5982
#33
25.20.2
20.420.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
5231
#18
22.30.2
20.520.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
red by 2.8
9685
#17
19.50.2
13.613.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
Third
9594
#22
16.80.2
14.614.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End1.2
Level
6631
#37
16.80.2
16.016.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned