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Red99
967415.7
966118.0
317558.3
Blue76
710914.2
1054714.9
560337.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866020401001201401609976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
61Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points6
99Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.1
53.554.5
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
red by 20.6
37.70.8
35.436.2
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
Second
9661
#11
18.01.1
14.215.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
red by 3.1
14.90.8
13.113.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Third
9674
#34
15.71.1
9.510.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 1.6
7109
#32
14.20.8
10.010.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned