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Red98
261930.1
851736.7
552521.3
Blue39
661012.9
522927.8
570414.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95652040801201401609839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#5
40Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
62Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
98Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#10
36.71.3
37.538.8
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
red by 8.9
27.81.2
24.723.5
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
Second
30.11.3
22.523.8
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End7.4
red by 15.9
5704
#14
14.31.2
15.814.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Third
5525
#24
21.31.3
16.117.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 8.3
6610
#28
12.91.2
14.012.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed