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Red52
1066712.7
603325.7
1058719.4
Blue127
516651.4
606721.5
519338.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54123010015020052127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+49
Endgame+69
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#14
21Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
31Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points6
52Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6033
#13
25.70.4
24.123.7
Auto3.7
Teleop16.5
End5.5
blue by 25.8
51.41.0
47.348.3
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
19.40.4
16.816.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 19.1
38.51.0
36.737.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.3
End5.9
Third
12.70.4
17.417.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 8.9
6067
#25
21.51.0
22.123.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned