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Red26
973112.8
653315.2
973613.2
Blue62
710914.2
968519.5
607113.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474202060801002662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
3Coral scored#8
11Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
15Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
26Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6533
#26
15.21.1
19.018.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 4.4
9685
#17
19.51.6
13.815.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
Second
9736
#23
13.21.1
10.49.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 1.0
7109
#32
14.21.6
10.812.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
Third
9731
#40
12.81.1
12.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 0.6
6071
#36
13.41.6
13.214.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned