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Red123
317558.3
959416.8
552521.3
Blue138
550938.9
377048.5
966118.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810750150200123138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#20
57Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#6
12Processor points6
28Net points24
40Algae points30
97Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
123Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.4
54.555.9
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
red by 9.9
48.52.3
42.144.4
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
Second
5525
#24
21.31.4
17.418.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
blue by 17.7
38.92.3
37.039.3
Auto7.2
Teleop25.5
End6.3
Third
9594
#22
16.81.4
14.816.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End1.2
blue by 1.3
9661
#11
18.02.3
15.217.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned