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Red80
516651.4
1066712.7
661012.9
Blue70
542429.5
851736.7
560337.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8312040601001401601808070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
39Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
80Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.4
48.347.9
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 13.7
37.72.3
36.233.9
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
Second
6610
#28
12.90.4
14.514.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 23.8
8517
#10
36.72.3
38.836.5
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
Third
12.70.4
17.016.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 16.8
5424
#21
29.52.3
29.327.1
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed