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Red95
598225.2
777218.8
522927.8
Blue57
663116.8
550415.0
1069023.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73582040801001209557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+30Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
61Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
95Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.82.1
23.525.6
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
red by 4.3
23.50.2
22.122.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
Second
5982
#33
25.22.1
20.622.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
red by 8.4
6631
#37
16.80.2
16.216.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Third
7772
#39
18.82.1
16.218.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 3.8
5504
#38
15.00.2
13.213.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed