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Red69
570414.3
261930.1
607319.5
Blue56
967415.7
523122.3
1054714.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665102040801001201406956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
43Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
6Foul points6
69Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.5
23.824.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End7.4
red by 7.8
5231
#18
22.30.3
20.821.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
Second
6073
#15
19.50.5
17.718.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
red by 3.7
9674
#34
15.70.3
10.610.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
5704
#14
14.30.5
14.514.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 0.7
14.90.3
13.914.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed