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Red71
710914.2
519338.5
653315.2
Blue142
552521.3
550938.9
521664.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631365010015020071142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+75
Endgame+65
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +23
9Leave0
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points36
13Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +52
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#5
6Processor points12
0Net points20
6Algae points32
42Total teleop94
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points6
71Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.0
37.737.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.3
End5.9
blue by 26.4
64.90.9
61.262.1
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
Second
6533
#26
15.20.0
18.018.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 23.8
38.90.9
39.340.2
Auto7.2
Teleop25.5
End6.3
Third
7109
#32
14.20.0
12.412.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
blue by 7.1
5525
#24
21.30.9
18.819.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed