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Red59
522927.8
663116.8
966118.0
Blue51
968519.5
553824.9
967415.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7051204060801001201405951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
41Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
59Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.0
25.625.6
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
red by 2.9
5538
#27
24.90.4
19.119.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End5.5
Second
9661
#11
18.00.0
17.517.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
blue by 1.5
9685
#17
19.50.4
15.415.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
Third
6631
#37
16.80.0
16.316.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 1.1
9674
#34
15.70.4
10.911.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned