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Red53
607319.5
606721.5
1066712.7
Blue64
570414.3
598225.2
959416.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7070556065755364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
36Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points16
53Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6067
#25
21.50.8
23.022.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
blue by 3.7
5982
#33
25.21.0
22.721.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
6073
#15
19.50.8
18.217.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
red by 2.7
9594
#22
16.81.0
16.215.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End1.2
Third
12.70.8
16.615.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 1.6
5704
#14
14.31.0
14.913.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed