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Red110
777218.8
516651.4
851736.7
Blue76
608832.9
661012.9
1054714.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11653010015011076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+32Teleop
+28Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
84Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points0
110Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.2
47.947.7
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 18.5
6088
#12
32.90.9
29.130.0
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Second
8517
#10
36.70.2
35.235.0
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
red by 21.8
14.90.9
14.215.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Third
7772
#39
18.80.2
18.318.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 5.9
6610
#28
12.90.9
13.614.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed