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Red102
560337.7
1058719.4
1069023.5
Blue86
519338.5
966224.6
607113.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7986406010012014010286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
60Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points12
102Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.8
35.237.0
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
blue by 0.7
38.50.3
37.737.4
Auto5.3
Teleop27.3
End5.9
Second
23.51.8
22.924.7
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
blue by 1.1
9662
#19
24.60.3
25.625.3
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End3.2
Third
19.41.8
17.018.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.5
End3.0
red by 5.9
6071
#36
13.40.3
15.415.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned