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Red112
521664.9
523122.3
966118.0
Blue42
973112.8
550415.0
964820.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12044010015020011242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
13Coral scored#4
47Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
12Processor points0
24Net points8
36Algae points8
83Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
112Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.7
62.162.8
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
red by 44.7
9648
#20
20.20.4
21.621.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
Second
5231
#18
22.30.7
21.722.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
red by 7.3
5504
#38
15.00.4
14.013.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Third
9661
#11
18.00.7
17.518.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
red by 5.2
9731
#40
12.80.4
13.012.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed