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Red110
598225.2
710914.2
317558.3
Blue119
542429.5
607319.5
516651.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971000200400600800110119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
62Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
110Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.4
54.756.1
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
red by 6.9
51.41.8
47.749.5
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
5982
#33
25.21.4
21.723.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
blue by 4.3
5424
#21
29.51.8
27.729.4
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Third
7109
#32
14.21.4
12.413.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
blue by 5.3
6073
#15
19.51.8
17.419.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned