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Red100
261930.1
675326.5
608832.9
Blue43
1066712.7
550938.9
653315.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8577406010012010043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+37Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +36
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
58Total teleop22
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
100Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#12
32.91.4
30.031.4
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
blue by 6.0
38.92.1
40.238.2
Auto7.2
Teleop25.5
End6.3
Second
30.11.4
25.627.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End7.4
red by 15.0
6533
#26
15.22.1
18.015.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
6753
#16
26.51.4
22.924.4
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End6.9
red by 13.8
12.72.1
15.713.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed