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Red29
966118.0
607113.4
661012.9
Blue104
603325.7
317558.3
607319.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41115010015020029104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+81
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +54
3Coral scored#13
10Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
10Total teleop64
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
6Foul points0
29Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9661
#11
18.01.7
18.216.6
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End2.3
blue by 40.3
58.30.2
56.156.3
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
Second
6071
#36
13.41.7
15.113.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End2.4
blue by 12.2
6033
#13
25.70.2
25.625.8
Auto3.7
Teleop16.5
End5.5
Third
6610
#28
12.91.7
14.612.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 6.6
6073
#15
19.50.2
19.119.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned