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Red75
542429.5
973112.8
663116.8
Blue97
959416.8
710914.2
377048.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70944060801201401607597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
59Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
75Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#21
29.50.2
29.429.6
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
blue by 19.0
48.50.4
47.347.6
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
Second
6631
#37
16.80.2
16.616.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Level
9594
#22
16.80.4
15.515.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End1.2
Third
9731
#40
12.80.2
12.612.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 1.4
7109
#32
14.20.4
13.814.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned