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Red53
606721.5
966224.6
570414.3
Blue50
653315.2
777218.8
1069023.5
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706102040801001205350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
34Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
53Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9662
#19
24.60.6
25.324.6
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End3.2
red by 1.1
23.50.8
24.723.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
Second
6067
#25
21.50.6
22.221.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
red by 2.8
7772
#39
18.80.8
18.117.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Third
5704
#14
14.30.6
15.214.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 0.9
6533
#26
15.20.8
15.915.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed