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Red133
675326.5
967415.7
521664.9
Blue105
523122.3
516651.4
552521.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121026080120140160180133105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +19
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
89Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
133Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.91.3
62.864.1
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
red by 13.5
51.40.1
49.549.4
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Second
6753
#16
26.51.3
24.425.6
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End6.9
red by 4.2
5231
#18
22.30.1
22.422.3
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
Third
9674
#34
15.71.3
12.714.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 5.5
5525
#24
21.30.1
20.420.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned